I’d like to thank the Academy…

For whatever it’s worth, here are my picks for some of the big winners at tonight’s Oscars. I think, like always, this is a combination of what I think should win and what I think will win. Anyway, here they are:

Best Picture: No Country for Old Men
Best Director: Joel Coen and Ethan Coen
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis in There Will Be Blood
Best Actress: Laura Linney in The Savages
Best Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem in No Country for Old Men
Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett in I’m Not There
Best Original Screenplay: Juno
Best Adapted Screenplay: Atonement
Costume Design: Sweeney Todd The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Original Score: Atonement
Original Song: “Falling Slowly” — Once
Best Makeup: Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End
Best Visual Effects: Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End
Best Animated Feature Film: Ratatouille
Best Foreign Language Film: The Counterfeiters — Austria
Best Documentary Feature: No End in Sight

I make no claims to be any good at this — my skills as a prognosticator are reliably fallible — but we shall see.

I’m thinking about maybe live-blogging the show — I’ve never live-blogged anything, that I can remember — but that mean I’d actually have to watch the show.